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Commercial bank lending in Singapore in April grew

Commercial bank lending in Singapore in April grew to S$251.06 billion from S$201.80 billion a year earlier on the back of strong construction activity and a rise in home mortgages, data from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) showed on Friday.

Lending to businesses grew to S$143.58 billion from S$106.56 billion, led by a 53.6 percent jump in construction loans to S$45.02 billion.

Consumer lending expanded to S$107.48 billion from S$95.24 billion, of which housing and bridging loans amounted to S$74.56 billion, up 14.8 percent from last year.

Despite the healthy annual rise in bank loans in April, analysts expect lending growth to taper off in the second half of the year.

Loan growth in the first half will likely be more than 20 percent due to the loans extended for the construction of the two multi-billion dollar integrated casino resorts in Singapore and given a low base effect last year, said Kenneth Ng, analyst at CIMB-GK.

´We shouldn´t be very bullish about the 24.4 percent (annual rise in April) because the first half will probably see the peak in loan growth,´ he said.

On closer inspection, the April data also showed that on a monthly basis, the growth pace has slowed to 0.6 percent from March, the slowest month-on-month loan growth since April last year.

´A bit of a worrying sign, although one month doesn´t make a trend, is we have some of the manufacturing loans coming off quite significantly, some of the agriculture (loans) are coming off, and property loans have not been so much more either,´ Ng said.

´We all know that the broader economy is slowing down, particularly manufacturing (which) is in danger with the high oil price and the weak dollar ... so the second-half growth will come in the teens.´

Analysts expect loan growth for the city-state´s banks -- DBS Group, United Overseas Bank (other-otc: UOVEY.PK - news - people ) and Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. -- to slow to about 12 to 13 percent this year from the 20 percent jump recorded last year.

Domestic economic growth is expected to slow to 4.0 percent to 6.0 percent this year from 7.7 percent in 2007 given Singapore´s vulnerability to economic weakness in the United States, a major export market for the city state.

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